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@william_prm_adler

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@william_prm_adler 12H ago Updated 12H ago

Can someone help me do the 190 math here?

Using the latest spreadsheet, I can see there were around 35000 on-hand cases at the start of the 2024-2025 financial year.

I can also see by the end of May, there had been roughly 25000 new applications made in the same financial year, plus about 33000 grants and a few hundreds of refusals and withdrawals.

Yet, there are around 31000 on-hand cases in total.

So, if the number of grants, refusals, and withdrawals are 8000-9000 higher than the number of 190 visa lodgements, why do we only see a 4000 decline of on-hand cases?

What did I get wrong?

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@william_prm_adler 1W ago Updated 1W ago

Does anyone know how many 189/190 lodgements and grants are from and to priority occupation applicants, and how many non-priority occupation applicants? If not, any reasonable estimates?

Also, we have 16500 new 190 allocations for the eight States and Territories for the 2024-25 financial year, but why am I seeing a total of over 20000 lodgements for the same financial year by the end of April already? How does it make any sense? How can there be more lodgements than allocations?

And no, the 33000 number is for visa grants, not invitation allocations, which is the 16500 number, from my understanding.

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@william_prm_adler 1W ago Updated 1W ago

Are my bank statements considered alright? A bit tricky situation here.

I share a bank account with a family member outside Australia. The family member is the account owner, and owns the first card, and I own the second card of the account. Since the two cards belong to one single account, the bank can only print bank statements showing card activities from both cards.

The transactions include "date", "description" (merchant), "currency amount (my home country)", and "last four digits", and include both English and local language for these titles. However, the names of the merchants were not translated into English, which means the bank statements show English names for my transactions and non=English names for transactions made by my family member.

The bank has produced an English letter certifying the number of the credit card I use, which can correspond to the last four digits for each transaction.

We were in a rush so we did not have the time to provide NAATI-certified translations for all these bank statements, leaving lots of non-English names on the bank statements.

We just provided the bank proof letter and a letter explaining that those non-English names do not come from my transactions, based on the letter produced by the bank.

Does it pose an issue? If so, will I have a chance to provide a translation?

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@william_prm_adler 1W ago Updated 1W ago

When can we know the new planning levels for different visas and States and Territories for the next fiscal year?

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@william_prm_adler 2W ago Updated 2W ago

Got a TAS 190 pre-invitation, so if I have provided the documents provided, how likely is it to get rejected at the state nomination stage? (We are NOT talking about visa application stage, but the state nomination application stage.) Additional details in the reply for context.

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@william_prm_adler 2W ago Updated 2W ago

How likely is it for you to receive a state 190 (TAS) pre-invitation to apply for state nomination, but then get rejected at the state nomination state? I am not talking about the actual visa application stage, but the stage of state nomination application.