We should be approaching an inflection point this program...

We should be approaching an inflection point this program year.

As noted in, our 190 backlog level has been reduced by around 4000 last program year, down to the near 35000 level.

This year, while we still do not have the State and Territory nomination quotas yet, based on what we have heard, namely the quotas will be reduced by around 22% across States and Territories, we can use 13200 as an approximate number for all 190 nominations. Then using 2 as the approximate family size, we would have no more than 26400 nominations for 190 visa this program year.

Then we will have delays due to documentation gathering and two onshore candidates applying as a couple (primary and secondary), we would have even less actual lodgements. Last program year, a total of roughly 29000 applications for 190 visa were lodged, so this program year, we can also take an educated guess that no more than 25000 applications will be lodged.

Using some very rough math, the backlog should be reduced by at least 8000 by the end of this program year and if we still have 33000 planning level for 190 visa the next program year, then the backlog would be even lower than the planning level, which means even more people will get processed within 12 months.

Regardless, a lot of us who apply for 190 this program year will get processed within 12 months even if we are not priority candidates. Hopefully this helps.