Quick end-of-January 190 processing update: From 28 January...

Quick end-of-January 190 processing update:

From 28 January 2025, I have already counted 7 grants for February 2025 lodgements, and on 30 January 2025, I counted 3 grants for March 2025 lodgements.

Also, it seems grants for those lodged in June 2024 or earlier months are tiny in the recent 1 or 2 weeks compared to grants for those lodged in July 2024 or later months.

What does it mean? It means the number of cases for those lodged in June 2024 or earlier months, which was 3271 by the end of November 2025, likely has essentially dried to below 1000 or even below 500 if not lower.

Therefore, we will continue seeing grants for those lodged in November and December 2025 and the first half of 2026, and likely even grants for those lodged between July and September 2026 near the end of the 2025-2026 program year.

For more comprehensive analyses and predictions, see my post below, and I will make updates from time to time. Remember, for all the predictions, the current variables are how many people they will invite and how many people they will grant in the 2026-2027 program year, which is why I have not made predictions above and beyond the 30 June 2026 yet.

https://smartvisaguide.com/posts/12419