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Note on Subclass 190 When FY2024-25 opened on 1 July 2024,...

@gregormendel (1D ago| Updated 15H ago)

Note on Subclass 190

When FY2024-25 opened on 1 July 2024, total backlog was >35K, of which nearly 65% was lodged before 30 June 2023. This means bulk of the backlog was already waiting more than 1 year. So DHA got stuck processing April/May/June 2023 for a long long time, and processing time reached > 24 months for subclass 190 by 30 June 2025.

This FY (starting 1 July 2025), the situation is much improved (screenshot below, source). The opening backlog of 34873 is more evenly spread out over the year, so DHA can churn through months more easily and uniformly.

FY2025-26 planning level is 33K. There will be new priority 190 lodgments in this FY which get granted quick (in same FY), so lets say 3K planning level is consumed by those priority grants.

So, we have 30K planning level remaining to process the current backlog as at 30 June 2025. Looking at the lodgment patterns, it's very likely that DHA will clear most 190 files lodged till April 2025 (roughly), in this FY.

Overall, we should see official processing times gradually declining towards the 14 to 18 months zone by the end of this FY.

Read more about planning levels and state allocation here chart of 190 lodgements

Showing 6 comments

Thank you the insights @gregormendel. How do you reason the median processing times mentioned in Visa processing times overview page. It shows around 8 months.

Thanks for this @gregormendel. I see you assumed 3K priority application grants this FY. Is that an educated guess, or do we have a general pattern on the number of priority applications granted in the previous FYs?

Do you think the huge backlog of Aug-Nov 24 may choke the grants @gregor

Thanks. Appreciate all the hard work you put into this. Helps a lot

Thanks for your insights.

Very good insight. Thank you for your effort !