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We should be approaching an inflection point this program year.
As noted in, our 190 backlog level has been reduced by around 4000 last program year, down to the near 35000 level.
This year, while we still do not have the State and Territory nomination quotas yet, based on what we have heard, namely the quotas will be reduced by around 22% across States and Territories, we can use 13200 as an approximate number for all 190 nominations. Then using 2 as the approximate family size, we would have no more than 26400 nominations for 190 visa this program year.
Then we will have delays due to documentation gathering and two onshore candidates applying as a couple (primary and secondary), we would have even less actual lodgements. Last program year, a total of roughly 29000 applications for 190 visa were lodged, so this program year, we can also take an educated guess that no more than 25000 applications will be lodged.
Using some very rough math, the backlog should be reduced by at least 8000 by the end of this program year and if we still have 33000 planning level for 190 visa the next program year, then the backlog would be even lower than the planning level, which means even more people will get processed within 12 months.
Regardless, a lot of us who apply for 190 this program year will get processed within 12 months even if we are not priority candidates. Hopefully this helps.
How many days from S56 to grant? It depends on a multitude of factors, but generally its takes from 1 to 12 weeks for most (not all) applicants to get grant after s56 request is fulfilled. The best way to answer this would be to look at the latest s56 to grant timelines for your subclass. We have provided the data here.
Tasmanian Skilled Migration State Nomination Program Update - November 2025 Additional interim nomination allocation While the Australian Government has not yet confirmed full program year nomination quotas for 2025-26, it has provided a further interim allocation of skilled visa nomination places to states and territories. For Tasmania, this allocation provides a further 450 places: - 300 for subclass 190 - 150 for subclass 491.
The 2025-26 Tasmanian Skilled Migration Program opened to new Registrations of Interest (ROIs) on 14 October 2025, with only candidates issued a Gold Pass invited to apply for nomination.
With this additional allocation, we will commence weekly invitation rounds with invitations expected to be issued across Gold, Green and Orange Pass categories.
Information will be posted on the Migration Tasmania website every week detailing: - the number of ROIs invited to apply for nomination - the lowest scores invited - nomination places available - number of ROIs on hand
