CB @sigma_sq

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@sigma_sq Statistician 224113

India living in India

Awaiting Visa

Joined 11mo ago Seen 1d ago 1 events

Statistician

India

85 pts

Points breakdown

Age 25
English 20
Education 15
Australian experience 0
Overseas experience 10
Australian study 0
Regional study 0
Specialist study 0
Professional Year 0
NAATI/CCL 5
Skilled Partner Software Engineer 10

Total before state nomination 85 pts

Timeline

Submitted Visa Application 17 Oct 2026

Subclass 189 · 85 pts

Waiting for 21 days

Expected visa grant

Offshore Non-Priority

Statistician lodged Subclass 189 on 17 Oct 2026

About this estimate: Level 1 (priority occupations) and level 2 (onshore non-priority) each use grant samples from their own group.

Levels 3 and 4 (offshore non-priority) use a combined sample set because many past grant profiles do not say whether the person applied alone or with a partner or family. Combining them gives us more data for a stable estimate. Priority levels follow Direction 122.

Waiting

21 days

Through the range

~2%

0 days

Lodged

50%

10.4 months

90%

11.8 months

Sooner Average Later

10% chance by

19 Jan 2027

3.1 months
25% chance by

25 Feb 2027

4.3 months
50% chance by

30 Aug 2027

10.4 months
75% chance by

08 Sep 2027

10.7 months
90% chance by

10 Oct 2027

11.8 months
99% chance by

14 Jan 2028

14.9 months

Show raw data Premium View the visa grant records used to calculate this estimate.

How are visa processing time estimates calculated?

Your lodgement date position

Statistician lodged Subclass 189 on 17 Oct 2026

Lodged before you: 62
Lodged after you: 13
Tracked total: 76

Pending applicants by lodgement month

Your position among active SmartVisaGuide profiles · stacked by Direction 122 group

Priority Onshore Non-Priority Offshore Non-Priority Your month

Important: This chart only includes SmartVisaGuide users actively tracking their visa profile. It is not the complete population of Subclass 189 visa applicants.

Show raw data Premium View the pending applicant records represented in this chart.

Check out FOI data for visa backlog

Comprehensive S56 Analysis Report

Premium Feature

We have prepared a detailed s56 request analysis report (~2000 words) based on an analysis of recent s56 to grant timelines in the SmartVisaGuide database for Subclass 189 visas.

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View sample report