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@kanxcha

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Manufacturer

India

85 pts

Points breakdown

  • Age 30
  • English 20
  • Education 15
  • Australian experience 0
  • Overseas experience 10
  • Australian study 5
  • Regional study 5
  • Specialist study 0
  • Professional Year 0
  • NAATI/CCL 0
  • Partner Skills 0
Total before state nomination 85 pts

Timeline

  1. Completed Visa Medicals 17 Mar 2025

    Subclass 190 Β· NSW Β· 90 pts

  2. Submitted Visa Application 05 Mar 2025

    Subclass 190 Β· NSW Β· 90 pts

    Waiting for 19 months and 21 days

  3. Received State Nomination Approval 21 Feb 2025

    Subclass 190 Β· NSW Β· 90 pts

  4. Received Skillselect Invitation to Apply (ITA) Visa 21 Feb 2025

    Subclass 190 Β· NSW Β· 90 pts

  5. Submitted Nomination Application to State 21 Jan 2025

    Subclass 190 Β· NSW Β· 90 pts

  6. Received Preinvite from State 14 Jan 2025

    Subclass 190 Β· NSW Β· 90 pts

Expected visa grant

Offshore Non-Priority

Manufacturer lodged Subclass 190 on 05 Mar 2025

About this estimate: Level 1 (priority occupations) and level 2 (onshore non-priority) each use grant samples from their own group.

Levels 3 and 4 (offshore non-priority) use a combined sample set because many past grant profiles do not say whether the person applied alone or with a partner or family. Combining them gives us more data for a stable estimate. Priority levels follow Direction 122.

Direction 122 started on 19 September 2026, so these estimates currently rely on data from before the change. We expect to need 4–6 weeks of data under the new rules, until around the end of October, for estimates to stabilise and reflect the new processing patterns. Treat them as provisional until then.

Waiting

19 months and 21 days

Through the range

~97%

0 days

Lodged

50%

15.8 months

90%

16.8 months

Sooner Average Later

  • 10% chance by

    11 Mar 2026

    12.2 months

  • 25% chance by

    08 Jun 2026

    15.1 months

  • 50% chance by

    28 Jun 2026

    15.8 months

  • 75% chance by

    15 Jul 2026

    16.3 months

  • 90% chance by

    30 Jul 2026

    16.8 months

  • 99% chance by

    28 Jan 2027

    22.8 months

How are visa processing time estimates calculated?

Your lodgement date position

Manufacturer lodged Subclass 190 on 05 Mar 2025

Lodged before you
16
Lodged after you
143
Tracked total
161

Pending applicants by lodgement month

Your position among active SmartVisaGuide profiles Β· stacked by Direction 122 group

Pending visa applicants by lodgement month Monthly counts of pending Subclass 190 applicants, with Mar 2025 marked as your lodgement month. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Applicants 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Apr 2023 (1 total) Apr 23 1 Onshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Jun 2023 (1 total) 1 Priority applicant lodged in Oct 2023 (1 total) 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Nov 2023 (1 total) Dec 23 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in May 2024 (2 total) 1 Priority applicant lodged in May 2024 (2 total) Aug 24 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Sep 2024 (1 total) 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Dec 2024 (2 total) 1 Priority applicant lodged in Dec 2024 (2 total) 3 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Jan 2025 (3 total) 2 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Feb 2025 (2 total) 6 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Mar 2025 (9 total) 3 Priority applicants lodged in Mar 2025 (9 total) Mar 25 7 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Apr 2025 (10 total) 3 Priority applicants lodged in Apr 2025 (10 total) 20 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in May 2025 (27 total) 1 Onshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in May 2025 (27 total) 6 Priority applicants lodged in May 2025 (27 total) 11 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Jun 2025 (20 total) 4 Onshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Jun 2025 (20 total) 5 Priority applicants lodged in Jun 2025 (20 total) 4 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Jul 2025 (6 total) 2 Priority applicants lodged in Jul 2025 (6 total) 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Oct 2025 (2 total) 1 Onshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Oct 2025 (2 total) 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Nov 2025 (2 total) 1 Onshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Nov 2025 (2 total) 2 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Dec 2025 (4 total) 2 Onshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Dec 2025 (4 total) Dec 25 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Jan 2026 (2 total) 1 Onshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Jan 2026 (2 total) 2 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Feb 2026 (6 total) 3 Onshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Feb 2026 (6 total) 1 Priority applicant lodged in Feb 2026 (6 total) 5 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Mar 2026 (13 total) 1 Onshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Mar 2026 (13 total) 7 Priority applicants lodged in Mar 2026 (13 total) 4 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Apr 2026 (17 total) 8 Onshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Apr 2026 (17 total) 5 Priority applicants lodged in Apr 2026 (17 total) 2 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in May 2026 (16 total) 6 Onshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in May 2026 (16 total) 8 Priority applicants lodged in May 2026 (16 total) 3 Offshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Jun 2026 (8 total) 2 Onshore Non-Priority applicants lodged in Jun 2026 (8 total) 3 Priority applicants lodged in Jun 2026 (8 total) 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Jul 2026 (2 total) 1 Onshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Jul 2026 (2 total) 1 Offshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Aug 2026 (1 total) Aug 26 1 Priority applicant lodged in Sep 2026 (1 total) 1 Onshore Non-Priority applicant lodged in Oct 2026 (1 total) Oct 26 YOU Visa lodgement month
Priority Onshore Non-Priority Offshore Non-Priority Your month

Important: This chart only includes SmartVisaGuide users actively tracking their visa profile. It is not the complete population of Subclass 190 visa applicants.

Check out FOI data for visa backlog

Comprehensive S56 Analysis Report

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We have prepared a detailed s56 request analysis report (~2000 words) based on an analysis of recent s56 to grant timelines in the SmartVisaGuide database for Subclass 190 visas.

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Recently Granted S56 dates

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