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What is the expected 189 cutoff for 233211 Civil Engineer in next round ?

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🎲 SUMMARY REPORT

What is the expected 189 cutoff for 233211 Civil Engineer in next round ?

  • Last major 189 round was on 8 December 2022
  • Onshore cutoff for Civil Engineer was 85 points
  • Offshore cutoff for Civil Engineer was 85 points

🎡 Total 3465 EOIs >= 65 points were SUBMITTED (waiting for invitation) as at 30 November 2022

  • Looking at the points distribution of SUBMITTED EOIs, onshore candidates had to be ahead of 70.3% EOIs in terms of points
  • 70.3 percentile refers to the 85 points cutoff mark for onshore candidates
  • Looking at the points distribution of SUBMITTED EOIs, offshore candidates had to be ahead of 70.3% EOIs in terms of points
  • 70.3 percentile refers to the 85 points cutoff mark for offshore candidates

Current SkillSelect pool for Civil Engineer in terms of SUBMITTED EOIs

  • 🎡 Total 5824 EOIs >= 65 points were SUBMITTED (waiting for invitation) as at 30 June 2023
  • 🚨 The EOI Pool has expanded by a factor of 1.68 compared to 30 November 2022
  • This means competitiveness has increased significantly at each points level

🏋️‍♀️ SUCCESS PERCENTILES IN LAST ROUND

  • ✅ In the last round, an onshore Civil Engineer with total points more than 70.3% of EOIs got an invite.
  • ✅ Similarly, an offshore Civil Engineer with total points more than 70.3% of EOIs got an invite
  • The current pool has 5824 EOIs at various points levels
  • We can apply this success percentile numbers to current pool
  • We can assume relative competitiveness hasnt significantly changed (e.g. no sudden disproportionate influx of low/high points candidates)

🔮 EXPECTED CUTOFF IN NEXT ROUND

  • 🇦🇺 ONSHORE cutoff is expected to be 85 points
  • 🌍 OFFSHORE cutoff is expected to be 85 points

🎈 However the EOI pool has significantly increased in size (1.68 times)

  • FY24 189 allocation hasnt significantly changed from previous year. So a larger pool means more applicants at each points level

  • This will result in the points cutoff being pushed upward. An additional 5 points (atleast) should be added to our calculated cutoffs

  • Therefore:

    • 🇦🇺 ONSHORE cutoff can touch 90 points
    • 🌍 OFFSHORE cutoff can touch 90 points